Rafael is expected to continue to intensify into major hurricane strength on Wednesday after becoming a hurricane the prior night. It began as a Category 1 before strengthening into a Category 2 hurricane on Wednesday morning.

Forecast models are aligned on Rafael’s path over the next two to three days, but uncertainty grows significantly beyond that timeframe.

A new tropical cyclone, potential Hurricane Rafael, has formed in the Atlantic after brewing over the Caribbean for several days, but forecasters are unsure if and how it will impact portions of the United States.